University of Houston receives $2 million to develop air quality forecasting model

Houston 23 Oct 2000 The Environmental Protection Agency budget, which was passed by the U.S. Congress recently, includes $2 million for the University of Houston (UH) to research and develop an ozone simulation and forecasting model of the Houston and Gulf Coast region.

Using supercomputers and sophisticated mathematical modelling techniques, the UH researchers, led by Tony Haymet, UH professor of chemistry, will look at the complex issues of ozone production and transport, and will examine over 150 other air-borne chemicals in the categories of volatile organics, the oxides of nitrogen (NOx) and particulates to determine their production and transportation for this particular region and weather systems over extended periods of time.

The research team is coming together through the UH Texas Learning and Computation Center. Dr. Haymet will be working with top mathematicians, including UH professor Roland Glowinski, who holds the French National Medal of Science; chemical engineers, including UH professors and National Academy of Engineering members Neal Amundson and Dan Luss; UH Clear Lake professor Jim Lester, head of the UH/UHCL Environmental Studies Institute; and other U.S. institutions.

"All the current models used for ozone simulation are based on the models developed for Los Angeles in the 1970s", stated Arthur Vailas, UH Vice President for Research and Intellectual Property Management. "This new initiative will bring experts from all of these fields to develop the appropriate model that specifically characterises the Gulf Coast area, including the emissions from our factories and automobiles, changes in weather patterns, humidity, and our natural resources, such as swamps and bayous. This programme will model ozone and air quality transport and how it changes over a given day, month, year."

Dr. Vailas explained that Houston currently is one of the most studied cities in the country with more environmental sensors per square mile than any other city. The Texas Natural Resource Conservation Commission (TNRCC) and federal agencies have funded a major inter-institutional study to collect data over time from these sensors.

"With the help of collaborators at organisations like the Greater Houston Partnership, and other Universities state and worldwide, our efforts will add new mathematical algorithms and computer codes to predict the formation of both ozone and fine particulate aerosols which will be the focus of future regulatory action, and of great concern to Houston", stated Dr. Haymet. "Coupled with specific data about Houston weather and the chemical reactions occurring in the air, ozone concentrations for specific episodes in 1993, 1998, 1999 and 2000 will be calculated for both the actual conditions existing at the time, and for a variety of reduced emissions, which TNRCC and others suggest Houston should achieve by 2003 and beyond", Dr. Haymet added.


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